[TheThinkTank] Reliable infection numbers

Jim Bledsoe gamesbledsoe at gmail.com
Fri Mar 13 08:48:58 PDT 2020


here is a look at the 1918 'Spanish Flue'
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/journal-plague-year-180965222/

On Fri, Mar 13, 2020 at 7:25 AM William Beasley <wm.a.beasley at gmail.com>
wrote:

> Jeff-
> Our shop is a mess, too, and we'd like to clean up and get ready for
> Spring. But just to be clear -- as of late yesterday, Ohio has 5
> _confirmed_ cases of COVID-19. That 100,000 figure is an estimate from the
> Ohio Department of Health as to how many folks in Ohio might currently be
> carrying the virus, based on statistically extrapolating a rate of
> community spread. Yes, it's serious, and we need to be taking aggressive
> steps, but keeping perspective is important.
>
> William Beasley
> Elyria Bike Education Center
>
> On 3/13/20, 10:07 AM, "Thethinktank on behalf of Jeff Potter" <
> thethinktank-bounces at lists.bikecollectives.org on behalf of
> jeff at outyourbackdoor.com> wrote:
>
>     Thanks for the idea of leaving a pile of tubes and patches outside the
> door!
>
>     I kinda like the idea of one worker in shop at a time.
>
>     Our shop is a mess and we want to prep for spring here in Michigan.
>
>     We’re still sorting out how to respond. Yes, possible to spread if
> asymptomatic but very very unlikely? It spreads via cough/sneeze. If our
> core gang of 3, say, shows up and nobody is symptomatic it seems like we
> will be fine.
>
>     Ohio has 100k cases: high alert! MI has 2 cases known. Should MI be in
> a diff mode than OH?
>
>     Or should we all go to “stop all nonessential activity” mode to be
> safe? Tubes outside the shop can be done regardless — we have hundreds of
> excess tubes!
>
>     We’re talking 3 at a time — this is not a “big group.” It’s still
> doing social distancing but it’s not total isolation. We can use spray
> bottle w bleach to zap stuff to start. Not get close.
>
>     …Or should we do isolation? There are degrees in the isolation mode.
> Weekly groceries are essential. Keeping grocery open is not total
> isolation. Closing bike shop is not true isolation. So we’d stop all shop
> activity if that’s best. I’m in favor of over-responding now to do all we
> can to put the genie back in the bottle. Maybe for the next week or so?
> Adjust LATER. Go harder on the front end...
>
>     Jeff Potter
>     Lansing Bike Co-op
>     Michigan
>     ____________________________________
>
>     The ThinkTank mailing List
>
>     Unsubscribe from this list here:
> http://lists.bikecollectives.org/options.cgi/thethinktank-bikecollectives.org
>
>
>
>
> ____________________________________
>
> The ThinkTank mailing List
>
> Unsubscribe from this list here:
> http://lists.bikecollectives.org/options.cgi/thethinktank-bikecollectives.org
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.bikecollectives.org/pipermail/thethinktank-bikecollectives.org/attachments/20200313/d1adee27/attachment.html>


More information about the Thethinktank mailing list